Wavelet Analysis of Average Monthly Temperature New Delhi 1931- 2021 and Forecast until 2110
نویسندگان
چکیده
The identification method in the CurveExpert-1.40 software environment revealed asymmetric wavelets of changes average monthly temperature New Delhi from 1931 to 2021. maximum increment for 80 years 5.1°C was March 2010. An analysis wave patterns dynamics up 2110 carried out. For forecasting, formulas were adopted containing four components, among which second component is critical heat India. first Mandelbrot law (in physics). It shows natural trend decreasing temperature. increases according law. third with a correlation coefficient 0.9522 has an annual fluctuation cycle. fourth semi-annual cycle influence vegetation cover. warming level 2010 will repeat again 2035-2040. From 2040 rise steadily. June hottest month. At same time, 35.1°C reach by 2076. But wave, 0.54°C 16.29°C. and cycles had insignificant effect on dynamics. Thus, example meteorological observations made it possible obtain summary models different number components. at height 2 m insufficient. On surface, space measurements, reaches 55°C. As result, order identify more accurate results satellite measurements surface India various geographical locations stations are additionally required.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of atmospheric science research
سال: 2023
ISSN: ['2630-5119']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.30564/jasr.v6i2.5447